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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmR2D2RSRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)no settled market48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.6M—$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #46PM monthly #736PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (100 of 137 open)60% (3 of 5 open)no open consensus position57% (38 of 67 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)—10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)—22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)—35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)—33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmR2D2RSRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Buccaneers vs. Bears
opposite sides · consensus Bears
—Buccaneers $1.5K—Bears $7.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Nets $1.1K——Mavericks $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.4K——Over $136
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Flyers vs. Flames
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
Flames $632——Flyers $839
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $95——Celtics $921
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
Penguins $23——Ducks $935
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Nets $155——Mavericks $763
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $817——Over $11
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $500——Bucks $201
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $233——Over $221
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $86——Over $32
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6——Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $17K——Coco Gauff $58K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $20K——Timberwolves $54K
Celtics vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $5.1K——Celtics $33K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $5.8K—Bears $27K
Nets vs. Mavericks
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $4.6K——Mavericks $18K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $5.9K——Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $8.0K——No $210
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.8K——Under $2.8K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2.6K——Under $2.9K
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Timberwolves $2.4K——Timberwolves $3.0K
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.6K——Over $1.0K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.3K——Under $1.2K
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $1.9K——Mavericks $1.1K
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K——Over $924
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $2.8K——Bucks $112
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.9K——Under $744
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $1.2K——Mavericks $1.0K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $1.2K——Mavericks $607
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $472——Celtics $1.3K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $166——Over $1.5K
Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $7
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $279——Celtics $1.2K
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $757——Mavericks $482
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20