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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorplittle-jerkRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)no settled market48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M—$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #715PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #75
Sides with the consensus74% (151 of 205 open)no open consensus position57% (52 of 92 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)—10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)—22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)—35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)—33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorplittle-jerkRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $826—No $5.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $845—Over $3.0K—
KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3.3K—Under $55—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $165—Lions $2.0K—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K—Yes $255—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $185—Cowboys $1.4K—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.4K—Yes $135—
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers $1.0K—Arkansas Razorbacks $314—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $370—Yes $28—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Commanders $221—Rams $62—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20—Yes $1—
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $76K—Yes $14K—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $40K—No $20K—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $52K—No $4.8K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $17K—No $8.7K—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $17K—Under $402—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $5.9K—No $5.6K—
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $7.7K—No $1.3K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar
same side · consensus Jaume Munar
Jaume Munar $855—Jaume Munar $7.1K—
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $7.5K—No $176—
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
Justin Boulais $1.7K—Justin Boulais $5.5K—
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.0K—Over $250—
Knoxville: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Karl Poling
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
Filip Jeff Planinsek $2.9K—Filip Jeff Planinsek $3.1K—
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.0K—Yes $1.8K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $1.4K—
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K—No $204—
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sønderjyske Fodbold
Sønderjyske Fodbold $2.2K—Sønderjyske Fodbold $19—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.0K—No $16—
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $201—
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $814—Under $766—
Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $112—
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.0K—Under $17—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
76ers $592—76ers $121—
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $626—Under $8—
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $413—Yes $121—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41—
Panthers vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
Panthers $29—Panthers $26—