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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorplittle-jerkRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)no settled market48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.1M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #715PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (184 of 242 open)100% (1 of 1 open)57% (66 of 115 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)—10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)—22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)—35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)—33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorplittle-jerkRN1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $63KNo $296No $55K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $232
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $7
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 1. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin $7.2K—SC Freiburg $2.8K
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.9K—Yes $5.3K
KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.3K—Under $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $826—No $5.2K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.6K—Under $2.3K
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC $4.8K—Manchester United FC $12
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K—Yes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $845—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.8K—Under $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $105
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $165—Lions $2.1K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K—Yes $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $181—Cowboys $1.5K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.4K—Yes $109
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers $816—Arkansas Razorbacks $305
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $331—Stefan Kozlov $299
Princeton Tigers vs. Siena Saints
opposite sides · consensus Siena Saints
Princeton Tigers $360—Siena Saints $130
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $440—Yes $18
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $357—Yes $28
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $35—Under $8
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20—Yes $1
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $66K—Yes $14K
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $55K—No $20K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $39K—No $21K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $54K—No $4.8K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $17K—No $8.7K
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $11K
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC $19K—Aston Villa FC $1.1K
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $17K—Under $402
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12K—Over $4.3K
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $8.6K—No $3.6K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar
same side · consensus Jaume Munar
Jaume Munar $1.1K—Jaume Munar $7.1K
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4K—No $3.2K
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $7.3K—No $176
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
Justin Boulais $1.7K—Justin Boulais $5.5K
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.0K—Over $250
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.0K—Over $5.2K
Legia Warszawa vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.2K—Under $4.4K