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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677omnibus-076daaUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15330–15412, n=30742)50% (20405–20288, n=40693)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M$3.1M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #3PM monthly #60PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus76% (131 of 173 open)no open consensus position45% (49 of 108 open)67% (30 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677omnibus-076daaUpTheBlues
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K—Yes $14No $1.1K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $132—Yes $36Yes $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $14K—Under $1.7KUnder $23K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9——Under $5.2K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Under $2.2K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.3K—Yes $432—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $757
W35 Hamamatsu: Shiho Tsujioka vs Sera Nishimoto
opposite sides · consensus Sera Nishimoto
Sera Nishimoto $1.1K—Shiho Tsujioka $216—
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $642—Yes $203—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $811—Tommy Paul $23—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $439—Yes $358—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $514—Under $207—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $549——Yes $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702——Over $5
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2—Over $664—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268——Athletic Club $345
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $116——No $289
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $197—Over $166—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $267—Yes $70—
Will Lion City Sailors FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $259—Yes $73—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $264—Over $29—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $226—Over $13—
W100 Incheon: Xinyu Gao vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho
opposite sides · consensus Priska Madelyn Nugroho
Xinyu Gao $137—Priska Madelyn Nugroho $14—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $134—Yes $2—
Energetik Mingechevir vs. Shahdag Qusar FK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $120—Yes $2—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
Justina Mikulskyte $2—Tiphanie Lemaitre $98—
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $43—Over $15—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $3.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $499——No $15K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.8K—No $9.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4K——No $5.4K
Heat vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Heat
Clippers $6.0K—Clippers $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K——No $2.7K
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4.4K—No $173—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Under $1.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $39Yes $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Under $2.6K
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Alexandre Muller
Alexandre Muller $1.2K—Alexandre Muller $2.1K—
Spread: Heat (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Clippers $1.3K—Clippers $7—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.1K—No $119—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $343——Under $768
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $411——Under $677
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.0K——Over $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174——Under $791
W35 Hamamatsu: Chia Yi Tsao vs Kisa Yoshioka
same side · consensus Chia Yi Tsao
Chia Yi Tsao $810—Chia Yi Tsao $8—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang $227—Xinyu Wang $512—
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $687—Under $37—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
No $697—No $6—