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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Sera Nishimoto — but Shiho Tsujioka won instead.
W35 Hamamatsu: Shiho Tsujioka vs Sera Nishimoto
Resolved Shiho Tsujioka. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Sera Nishimoto. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Sera Nishimoto 80%
Total Value
$813.17
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Sera Nishimoto
8 of 10 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Shiho Tsujioka100%
Sera Nishimoto0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x39edb29e...916655
Slug
itf-tsujio1-nishim2-2026-11-05