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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpfurialetsgokeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)71% (2823–1176, n=3999)100% (1–0, n=1)47% (670–741, n=1411)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$529K$28K$885K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #929PM monthly #14PM monthly #57
Sides with the consensus52% (119 of 231 open)no open consensus position61% (43 of 70 open)56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=204———
Settled positions, side won41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 531)—5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 315)—34% (won 100% of 159)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 61% of 150)—52% (won 100% of 243)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 320)—9% (won 100% of 42)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpfurialetsgokeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Vikings $303—Packers $15KVikings $6.2K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $165—Falcons $15KChiefs $6.4K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Patriots $19KLions $38K
Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.7K—Under $34K—
CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.8K—Over $7—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.2K—Over $297—
Helsinki: Luka Mikrut vs Iiro Vasa
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
Luka Mikrut $793—Iiro Vasa $653—
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Iberian Soul
Iberian Soul $16—Omega $514—
Will CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $125—No $95—
Orleans (Doubles): Liutarevich/Pieczonka vs Paul/Vocel
opposite sides · consensus Paul/Vocel
Liutarevich/Pieczonka $29—Paul/Vocel $124—
Will Cyprus vs. Montenegro end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $76—No $63—
Fraport Skyliners vs. Gladiators Trier
opposite sides · consensus Gladiators Trier
Fraport Skyliners $100—Gladiators Trier $20—
Montevideo: Bruno (2002) Oliveira vs Maximo Zeitune
opposite sides · consensus Maximo Zeitune
Maximo Zeitune $24—Bruno (2002) Oliveira $66—
Will Paris 13 Atletico vs. Red Star FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $23—Yes $21—
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $14KVikings $8.3K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $620—Seahawks $19K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2K—Mertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Will Armenia win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
No $3.4K—No $249—
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $489—76ers $2.7K—
Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
Otto Virtanen $392—Otto Virtanen $886—
Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu
same side · consensus Michael Vrbensky
Vadym Ursu $977—Vadym Ursu $37—
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $205—Suns $809—
Belarus vs. Albania: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $9—Under $972—
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $583—Under $303—
Will Cyprus win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $770—Yes $32—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Mavericks $159—Mavericks $533—
Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
No $518—No $8—
Will Paris 13 Atletico win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
No $422—No $102—
Will GFA Rumilly Vallières win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $423—Yes $3—
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus France
France $149—France $209—
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $16——Cowboys $283
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $126—Yes $92—
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE Bulls
same side · consensus UAE Bulls
UAE Bulls $9—UAE Bulls $43—
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs Arabian Aces
same side · consensus Royal Desert Champions
Royal Desert Champions $3—Royal Desert Champions $23—
Montevideo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Santiago De la Fuente
same side · consensus Felipe Meligeni Alves
Santiago De la Fuente $1—Santiago De la Fuente $14—
Will Latvia vs. Armenia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3—Yes $1—