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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Flaznorp | RN1 | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) | 70% (95–40, n=135) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $14.8M | $28K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #843 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (266 of 390 open) | 62% (51 of 82 open) | 23% (3 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 78% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +12% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 14% (won 38% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 8% (won 20% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 12% (won 71% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 66% (won 95% of 39) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
41 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | RN1 | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue opposite sides · consensus Sofya Lansere | Noma Noha Akugue $589 | Sofya Lansere $24K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.7K | Yes $287 | — |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen | Janice Tjen $4.4K | Robin Montgomery $256 | — |
| Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | Anastasia Zakharova $504 | Magda Linette $3.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | Over $3.3K | — |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.3K | — | Yes $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | Yes $6 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1 | Over $2.5K | — |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | Yes $10 |
| Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $274 | No $1.8K | — |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.8K | No $2 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.8K | — | Yes $10 |
| Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $751 | No $314 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | No $524 | — |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $679 | — | Yes $9 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $498 | — | Yes $10 |
| Will SS Juve Stabia vs. SS Arezzo end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $36 | Yes $309 | — |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $315 | — | Yes $9 |
| FC Bayern München leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $40 | Yes $263 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | No $11 | — |
| Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $248 | Over $11 | — |
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $246 | — | Yes $9 |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $24 | Under $2 | — |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $87K | No $38K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Matej Dodig same side · consensus Jerome Kym | Jerome Kym $1.7K | Jerome Kym $19K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | No $2.6K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Toby Samuel | Toby Samuel $1.2K | Toby Samuel $15K | — |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu $4.4K | Bianca Andreescu $8.4K | — |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $11K | Under $1.4K | — |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $6.7K | Under $4.5K | — |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8.0K | — | Yes $10 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.4K | Yes $1.4K | — |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $4.4K | Over $2.6K | — |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $6.2K | No $20 | — |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $2.0K | Over $3.5K | — |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $5.3K | Yes $10 |
| Pisa SC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.4K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $4.7K | No $74 | — |
| Will Cesena FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | No $938 | No $3.3K | — |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.6K | Under $1.7K | — |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $3.0K | Under $25 | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes same side · consensus Inaki Montes | Inaki Montes $879 | Inaki Montes $1.3K | — |
| Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | Under $1.0K | — |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.9K | Under $13 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | Under $283 | — |