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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6467–6001, n=12468) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) | 75% (80–26, n=106) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $3.2M | $14.8M | $28K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #843 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (217 of 278 open) | 72% (68 of 95 open) | 66% (101 of 154 open) | 63% (10 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 83% of 54 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 11% (won 50% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 7% (won 25% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 11% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 70% (won 95% of 38) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
68 on the same side, 41 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $25K | — | No $4.0K | Yes $10 |
| Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $270 | — | No $107 | Yes $10 |
| Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $35K | — | Yes $28K | Yes $9 |
| Will FC København win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9.5K | — | Yes $4.1K | Yes $10 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $25K | — | Yes $13K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K | — |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11K | — | — | Yes $10 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.7K | — | Over $4 | — |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.4K | — | Yes $5 | — |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille | Olympique de Marseille $8.1K | — | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $10 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | — | Over $4.5K | — |
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.9K | — | Yes $69 | — |
| Will AZ win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.9K | — | No $2.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K | — |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $503 | — | Over $2.9K | — |
| Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 | — |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.7K | — | Under $414 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.9K | — | Under $57 | — |
| Will Rīga FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.9K | — | — | Yes $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA | SC União Torreense $232 | — | Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | Yes $243 | — |
| FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.8K | — | Under $38 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K | — |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | Yes $63 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | Yes $32 | — |
| Will AZ vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | No $529 | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $600 | — | No $300 | — |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $634 | — | Over $185 | — |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $630 | — | — | Yes $11 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $440 | — | Warriors $143 | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $432 | — | Over $4 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $94 | — | Yes $186 | — |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $159 | — | Over $10 | — |
| Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus AZ | Juventus FC $49 | — | AZ $89 | — |
| W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek | Anna Siskova $60 | — | Isis Louise Van den Broek $72 | — |
| Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $92 | — | Over $33 | — |
| Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $17 | — | No $46 | — |
| MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $25 | — | Under $3 | — |
| Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 0 Olympique de Marseille? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $8 | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $51K | — | No $27K | — |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $50K | — | No $20K | — |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | No $36K | — | No $18K | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $46K | — | — | Yes $9 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $40K | — | — | Yes $10 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $10K | — | Under $17K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic same side · consensus Filip Misolic | Filip Misolic $2.9K | — | Filip Misolic $18K | — |