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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1waierma
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)70% (95–40, n=135)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$3.6M$14.8M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #63PM monthly #36 + pinnedPM monthly #762
Sides with the consensus69% (172 of 251 open)no open consensus position51% (47 of 93 open)25% (3 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%78% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)14% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)8% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 71% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)66% (won 95% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1waierma
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $9.2KYes $1.7K
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $18K—Over $58—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.8K—No $4.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $981—Yes $4.2K—
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $478—Magda Linette $3.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Under $2.6K—
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1K—No $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6K—No $617—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.2K——Yes $10
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $576—Yes $1.6K—
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $272—No $1.9K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $368—Under $1.7K—
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $67—Over $1.8K—
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $57—Yes $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K——Yes $10
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K—No $8—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $524—
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $679——Yes $9
Taranto: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Kilian Feldbausch
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Kilian Feldbausch $584—Carlo Alberto Caniato $5—
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $315——Yes $9
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $15—Under $282—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151—Yes $38—
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $168——Yes $10
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $83—Under $88—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $140—
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $136—Under $6—
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $115—Under $11—
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $19—Yes $50—
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $8—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $117K—No $30K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.6K—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.5K—No $8.7K—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $14KYes $10
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—Bianca Andreescu $8.4K—
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Bayern München
1. FSV Mainz 05 $10K—1. FSV Mainz 05 $48—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.1K——Yes $10
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7.0K—Under $930—
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.6K—No $513—
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $5.0K—No $69—
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.6K—Yes $63—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Under $79—
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $612—No $1.7K—
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2.0K—Under $14—