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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardThunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlyuyuvkxDD
Record (consensus markets)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)52% (527–481, n=1008)58% (11–8, n=19)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$502K$370K$769K-$2.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #10was PM monthly #70was PM monthly #418
Sides with the consensus54% (100 of 185 open)65% (89 of 136 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)8% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)58% (won 100% of 7)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)33% (won 100% of 4)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardThunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlyuyuvkxDD
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $626Grizzlies $88K——
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $1.7KNets $40K——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5.5KUnder $5.6K——
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $174Chiefs $8.8K——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.1KUnder $2.6K——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $423Pistons $2.3K——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0KOver $936——
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $616——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2KUnder $214——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $798Over $352——
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $717Pistons $157——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $28Over $532——
Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons
Little Rock Trojans $9Northwestern State Demons $405——
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
Montana Grizzlies $20North Dakota Fighting Hawks $277——
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Arizona $23Utah $234——
Furman Paladins vs. Belmont Bruins: O/U 154.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $9Over $95——
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $76Nets $2——
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $54Nets $16——
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $5Pistons $5——
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $28K——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $6.5KBulls $13K——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $205Under $14K——
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Heat $1.0KHeat $10K——
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $2.2KHeat $8.4K——
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $4.6KBulls $2.7K——
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $303Vikings $6.7K——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5KOver $5.1K——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $3.6K——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.9KOver $966——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.2KOver $2.6K——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $931Under $3.7K——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $2.8K——
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $1.1K——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $29Under $991——
Spread: Nets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $613Grizzlies $150——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $599Over $164——
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $145Pistons $3——