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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FatsLivesMatterFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)66% (63–33, n=96)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$22K$4.1M$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #918PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)74% (145 of 195 open)no open consensus position56% (79 of 140 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won88% of 80 at avg 67¢, ROI +15%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 44% of 9)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 89% of 37)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 32)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFatsLivesMatterFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7.9K—Yes $2.1K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.3K—Yes $614
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $7.9K—Club Atlético de Madrid $2
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.2K—Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.4K—Under $420
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—No $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Calvin Hemery $973—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $472—Over $5
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $320—Yes $99
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $112—Over $267
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $222—Over $124
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334—Under $7
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $194—Under $55
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—76ers $136—Bulls $106
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $68—No $87
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger
—Mitchell Krueger $108—Samir Banerjee $1
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.4K—Broncos $45K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $28K—No $15K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $22K—No $18K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.7K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $13K—Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13K—CD Cobresal $3.5K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $10K—Yes $4.5K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $9.8K—Club Atlético de Madrid $137
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $5.8K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.7K—No $1.7K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.8K—No $5
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Stefan Kozlov
—Stefan Kozlov $4.2K—Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.8K—No $439
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.5K—Yes $885
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $214—No $4.4K
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.9K—No $629
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $214—No $4.2K
Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $2.8K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.2K—Over $847
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.0K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Under $468
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.5K—Yes $234
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $820—No $1.6K