← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | juliuscheesar | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (73–52, n=125) | 86% (18–3, n=21) | 47% (728–821, n=1549) | 53% (568–497, n=1065) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.5M | $16K | $718K | $613K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #970 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #76 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (6 of 15 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 58% (49 of 85 open) | 59% (47 of 80 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 61 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 27 at avg 78¢, ROI −9% | 100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 13% (won 41% of 104) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 100% of 25) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 34% (won 100% of 161) | 25% (won 70% of 203) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 100% of 33) | 22% (won 100% of 6) | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 45% (won 78% of 370) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 70% (won 100% of 19) | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 18% (won 97% of 149) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | juliuscheesar | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $38K | — | Hornets $34K | Hornets $424 |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $2.7K | — | Lakers $12K | Lakers $548 |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Clippers $1.1K | — | Clippers $2.7K | Clippers $5.0K |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs same side · consensus Team Spirit | — | Team Spirit $52 | Team Spirit $1.2K | Team Spirit $1.1K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $1.5M | — | — | 49ers $95K |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | — | Oregon Ducks $19K | Pepperdine Waves $155K |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $44K | — | — | 49ers $1.4K |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Mavericks $1.0K | Celtics $39K |
| Spread: 49ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $30K | — | — | 49ers $222 |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $194 | Over $29K |
| Oilers vs. Flyers opposite sides · consensus Oilers | — | — | Flyers $11K | Oilers $15K |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | — | Knicks $8.7K | Raptors $12K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $4.0K | — | — | 49ers $4.9K |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.4K | Over $6.5K |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $6.8K | Over $692 |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3.8K | Under $3.2K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $6.1K | Under $211 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $56 | Seahawks $4.0K |
| Spread: 49ers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | 49ers $40 | Cowboys $1.8K |
| Spread: Rams (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Rams $748 | — | Cardinals $685 | — |
| Spread: Rams (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $299 | Rams $9 |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $56 | Over $177 |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $149K | — | — | Cowboys $71K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $38K | Over $3.2K |
| Steelers vs. Bengals same side · consensus Bengals | — | — | Steelers $19K | Steelers $317 |
| Rockets vs. Wizards same side · consensus Rockets | — | — | Rockets $17K | Rockets $72 |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $5.4K | Jazz $64 |
| Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.8K | Under $284 |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $93 | — | Suns $3.3K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $857 | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Rams (-9.5) same side · consensus Rams | — | — | Cardinals $42 | Cardinals $1.8K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $506 | Under $647 |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $11 | Under $776 |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13 | Under $472 |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $6 | Under $294 |
| Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes same side · consensus Utah Utes | — | — | Utah Utes $19 | Utah Utes $153 |