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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | no settled market | 54% (208–178, n=386) |
| Consensus PnL | $822K | $421K | — | $230K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #43 | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (8 of 16 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 58% (98 of 169 open) | 66% (113 of 170 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 1) | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
25 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $260K | — | Nets $597 | Pelicans $3.9K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $10K | — | Nuggets $57 | Nuggets $22K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $2 | — | Grizzlies $4 | Nuggets $37 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $166K | — | Spurs $131 | Spurs $9.3K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $831 | — | Nets $5 | Nets $5.2K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $279 | — | Grizzlies $38 | Grizzlies $764 |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $90K | — | — | Nuggets $5.1K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1 | Under $30K |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | — | Warriors $2 | Rockets $26K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | — | Bucks $2 | Lakers $14K |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9 | Over $5.3K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $682 | — | — | Thunder $4.2K |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $334 | Over $4.5K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $6 | Over $4.1K |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $13 | Bucks $3.3K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $22 | Over $2.2K |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $29 | Bucks $1.6K |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3 | Under $931 |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $60 | Under $791 |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $3 | Magic $239 |
| Spread: Spurs (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | — | Spurs $4 | Bulls $232 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $6 | Under $121 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $32 | Under $9 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Nuggets $2 | Grizzlies $22 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4 | Under $9 |
| Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | — | — | Tulsa Golden Hurricane $4 | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles $5 |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $3 | Over $4 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9 | Under $37K |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $279 | Magic $14K |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | — | Bulls $92 | Bulls $10K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $16 | Over $9.7K |
| Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $43 | Over $5.2K |
| Flyers vs. Oilers same side · consensus Oilers | — | — | Flyers $6 | Flyers $4.3K |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Bulls $47 | Bulls $2.7K |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $18 | Over $2.3K |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Lakers $2.0K | — | Lakers $43 | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $19 | Under $1.7K |
| Spread: Lakers (-9.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Bucks $4 | Bucks $1.6K |
| Penguins vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $43 | Over $1.4K |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Avalanche | — | — | Senators $76 | Senators $1.3K |
| Spread: Boise State Broncos (-16.5) same side · consensus Oakland Golden Grizzlies | — | — | Boise State Broncos $43 | Boise State Broncos $829 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos same side · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack | — | — | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $30 | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $819 |
| Spread: Oregon Ducks (-33.5) same side · consensus Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | — | — | Oregon Ducks $35 | Oregon Ducks $358 |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | — | Spurs $9 | Spurs $341 |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $15 | Over $308 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Nuggets $4 | Nuggets $192 |
| Spread: Lakers (-16.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Bucks $2 | Bucks $95 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | — | Nets $23 | Nets $66 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $27 | Under $37 |