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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpnehcnehcRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)62% (6087–3688, n=9775)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M-$730K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #497PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (47 of 61 open)73% (144 of 196 open)59% (13 of 22 open)58% (88 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Politics −7 pts, n=125—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%63% of 9048 at avg 63¢, ROI 0%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)1% (won 18% of 92)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)26% (won 44% of 2313)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)40% (won 55% of 3629)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 87% of 3014)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

51 on the same side, 41 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpnehcnehcRN1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K76ers $806Bulls $4.7K76ers $365
76ers vs. Bulls
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14KBulls $1.5K76ers $4.7KBulls $73
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $29K—No $16K
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $80Under $5.3KOver $208
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $294Over $5.0KOver $193
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $40076ers $576—76ers $155
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $190K——Eagles $11K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $115K——No $2.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101K——Cowboys $5.0K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K——Eagles $638
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320—Rams $17K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K——Eagles $215
Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.0K—Yes $2.0K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.3K—Yes $614
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.2K—Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $107Under $4.7K—
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Clippers $7Pelicans $4.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8K—FC Barcelona $113
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.4K—Under $420
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3K—Under $82
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—No $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Calvin Hemery $973—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $768—Lehigh Mountain Hawks $256
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $320—Yes $99
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $63—Over $347
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $364—Over $7
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334—Under $25
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—76ers $168—Bulls $106
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $122—Under $139
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $72—No $87
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger
—Mitchell Krueger $106—Samir Banerjee $2
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 161.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $36—Over $6
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $208K——Under $4.5K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K——Giants $8.8K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KColts $63——
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.4K—Broncos $44K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $24K—No $18K
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21K——Chiefs $11K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Rams $13K——Rams $8.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K——Chiefs $1.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K