PolyConsensus

Economy: what top Polymarket traders hold

Rates, inflation, jobs and the other macro numbers. These are the Economy markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.

A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.

Live consensus markets
65
Recently settled, consensus right
0 of 1
Prices as of
Oct 25, 07:19 UTC

Live Economy consensus markets (65)

Top traders in Economy

Tracked traders with 10 or more settled Economy consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.

  1. 1.Medo3D+35 ptsside won 100% of 26 · avg entry 65¢ · ROI +17%
  2. 2.JAMJAMJAM4+31 ptsside won 95% of 39 · avg entry 64¢ · ROI +26%
  3. 3.RLWG+28 ptsside won 68% of 34 · avg entry 39¢ · ROI 0%
  4. 4.Scotty155+13 ptsside won 27% of 841 · avg entry 13¢ · ROI +10%
  5. 5.PROBABILITYTRADER+21 ptsside won 70% of 74 · avg entry 49¢ · ROI −5%
  6. 6.smellyEllie+20 ptsside won 40% of 53 · avg entry 19¢ · ROI −7%
  7. 7.rocky42019+22 ptsside won 55% of 44 · avg entry 32¢ · ROI +11%
  8. 8.Elias.Thornwell+10 ptsside won 99% of 210 · avg entry 88¢ · ROI +2%
  9. 9.SchruteBucks+15 ptsside won 86% of 94 · avg entry 71¢ · ROI −5%
  10. 10.arbfinder2026+13 ptsside won 81% of 172 · avg entry 68¢ · ROI −13%

Recently settled Economy markets

What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.

Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.