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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpHugolinoXavierRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)27% (10–27, n=37)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$9.4K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #684PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (44 of 53 open)71% (116 of 164 open)no open consensus position57% (56 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Geopolitics −2 pts, n=10—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%36% of 33 at avg 28¢, ROI +10%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)55% (won 17% of 18)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)33% (won 55% of 11)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)9% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)3% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpHugolinoXavierRN1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K76ers $764—76ers $901
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $32K—No $17K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14KBulls $1.6K—Bulls $80
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $275K——Texans $5.2K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179K——Cowboys $1.5K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101K——Cowboys $2.8K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $92K——Texans $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.9K—Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $141—No $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $1.4K
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8K—FC Barcelona $113
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $882—Yes $254
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Calvin Hemery $973—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $40076ers $587——
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $856—Under $33
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $376—Over $162
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $320—Yes $99
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $78—Over $340
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—76ers $173—Bulls $106
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $339KNo $117K——
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $76K—No $24K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KColts $63——
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $25K—No $19K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $30K—No $2.8K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24K——Colts $8.5K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $22K—No $2.7K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $13K—Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13K—CD Cobresal $3.5K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11K—Yes $5.1K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $246—No $12K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $12K—Club Atlético de Madrid $139
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.0K—Over $5.0K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $6.5K—Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $5.8K
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $8.5K—FC Barcelona $11
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $3.6K—FC Barcelona $3.2K
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $6.3K——Browns $311
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.1K—No $710
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $219—No $4.5K
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968