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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 71% (2547–1041, n=3588) | 54% (441–371, n=812) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $849 | $493K | $325K | $769K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #164 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #148 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 47% (86 of 183 open) | 54% (104 of 191 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | Kentucky $515 | Florida $2.0K | Florida $4.6K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $468 | Cavaliers $1.8K | Mavericks $143 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $6.3K | Grizzlies $50K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $357 | Nets $15K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $1.7K | Nets $11K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $6.2K | Nuggets $378 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $90 | Under $3.2K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $1.9K | Nuggets $107 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $16 | Under $1.5K | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Bilibili Gaming $489 | Gen.G $394 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $50 | Over $777 | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $260 | Oklahoma $507 | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $223 | Under $506 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $3 | Nets $579 | — |
| Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars | — | Providence Friars $405 | Colorado Buffaloes $159 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $293 | Nuggets $250 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $178 | Nets $222 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $163 | Nuggets $10 | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $42 | Over $76 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $1.3K | Nets $14K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | Over $12K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | — | Mavericks $13K | Mavericks $19 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $431 | Heat $9.8K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $94 | Bulls $6.1K | — |
| UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks same side · consensus UAB Blazers | — | UAB Blazers $103 | UAB Blazers $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $116 | Bulls $835 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $23 | Over $770 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus Arkansas | — | Arkansas $637 | Arkansas $12 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $23 | Under $611 | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | — | Texas Tech $374 | Texas Tech $226 | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU same side · consensus BYU | — | Baylor $307 | Baylor $277 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $398 | Under $6 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $91 | Under $66 | — |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D same side · consensus Froglings | — | 1win $10 | 1win $104 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $3 | — |