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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2dda38...f23b34fantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (16–14, n=30)71% (2284–931, n=3215)48% (513–552, n=1065)
Consensus PnL$0$586K$430K$546K
Tracked asPM monthly #979PM monthly #36PM monthly #13PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position48% (155 of 321 open)65% (98 of 150 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 396)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 215)37% (won 100% of 126)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 63% of 112)50% (won 100% of 171)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 265)7% (won 100% of 25)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2dda38...f23b34fantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $45Mavericks $31K
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $28Under $30K
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
——Duke $397Miami (FL) $12K
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina
——Arkansas State $387Coastal Carolina $10K
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
——Portugal $1.5KDenmark $6.2K
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.5KUnder $3.8K
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.7KUnder $3.9K
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $4.6KYes $80
Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $257Over $3.5K
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bradley Braves
——George Mason Patriots $73Bradley Braves $2.2K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $127Mavericks $1.4K
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
——Florida $460Kentucky $940
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
——Northern Kentucky Norse $4Central Michigan Chippewas $1.3K
Will Algeria win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $88
Knoxville: Clement Chidekh vs Michael Zheng
opposite sides · consensus Clement Chidekh
——Michael Zheng $987Clement Chidekh $204
Will Angola win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $912No $6
Will UD Almería vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $28
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kraken
——Kraken $12Hurricanes $741
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $642Yes $34
Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
——George Mason Patriots $589Bradley Braves $2
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
——Bradley Braves $64George Mason Patriots $493
Will South Sudan win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $5No $123
Will Togo win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $88No $40
Will Algeria vs. Togo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $42No $44
Pallacanestro Reggiana vs. Pallacanestro Varese
opposite sides · consensus Pallacanestro Varese
——Pallacanestro Reggiana $9Pallacanestro Varese $22
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
same side · consensus Hurricanes
——Hurricanes $23Hurricanes $40K
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
——Kansas $3Kansas $27K
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $13KUnder $2.8K
UD Almería vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6.6KUnder $281
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
same side · consensus Ohio State
——Northwestern $79Northwestern $3.4K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.8KNo $334
Brose Bamberg vs. Telekom Baskets Bonn
same side · consensus Telekom Baskets Bonn
——Telekom Baskets Bonn $1.7KTelekom Baskets Bonn $302
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.3KUnder $291
RCD Mallorca vs. Córdoba CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $40
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $314Over $125
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Colorado State Rams
same side · consensus Loyola Chicago Ramblers
——Loyola Chicago Ramblers $366Loyola Chicago Ramblers $27
Hamburg Towers vs. Wuerzburg
same side · consensus Wuerzburg
——Wuerzburg $366Wuerzburg $9
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State
same side · consensus Iowa State
——Cincinnati $7Cincinnati $251
Algeria vs. Togo: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $97Yes $103
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kraken
——Kraken $9Kraken $43