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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2dda38...f23b34Flaznorpnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2284–931, n=3215)55% (394–322, n=716)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$0$430K$426K$386K
Tracked asPM monthly #979PM monthly #13PM monthly #106was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position49% (157 of 321 open)53% (95 of 178 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 396)13% (won 40% of 81)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 215)24% (won 62% of 144)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 63% of 112)43% (won 74% of 261)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 265)20% (won 98% of 118)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2dda38...f23b34Flaznorpnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $52K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $1.3KNets $16K—
Will Poland win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $12KYes $3.4K—
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.6KYes $13K—
Will Austria win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.9KYes $516—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3KOver $4.4K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.5KUnder $562—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.0KYes $1.5K—
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $518Yes $2.1K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $186Over $1.9K—
Spread: Denmark (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Denmark $671Portugal $799—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $958Mavericks $120—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $263Oklahoma $507—
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $197Over $351—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $23Kraken $341—
Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $253Under $2—
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $39Over $2—
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $25Denmark $6—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $4.3KNets $25K—
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $13KUnder $322—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $98Nets $8.6K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KUnder $581—
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.7KOver $76—
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $987Yes $25—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
same side · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $397Duke $388—
Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $257Under $414—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $6Georgia State $520—
Will Denmark win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $468Yes $9—
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $234—
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State
same side · consensus Iowa State
—Cincinnati $7Cincinnati $218—
Spread: Poland (-2.5)
same side · consensus Romania
—Poland $44Poland $150—
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $41Over $106—
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $96Yes $3—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3—
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $36Under $4—