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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99plsgodsavemeVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)47% (705–782, n=1487)53% (542–483, n=1025)33% (2–4, n=6)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$825K$643K-$1.5K$530K
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #98was PM monthly #684PM monthly #44
Sides with the consensus61% (54 of 88 open)60% (58 of 97 open)no open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 45% of 89)20% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 71% of 190)60% (won 100% of 3)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 80% of 347)20% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 99% of 142)0%13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99plsgodsavemeVirIntrepidus
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
49ers $183K49ers $101K—Cowboys $283
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $3.3K49ers $1.6K—Cowboys $5.8K
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $149K——
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $1.1KCeltics $27K——
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Knicks $8.6KRaptors $12K——
Spread: France (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Türkiye
France $9.6KTürkiye $31——
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Croatia
Czechia $8.3KCroatia $132——
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $41Seahawks $7.3K——
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $6.6KOver $692——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3.9KUnder $3.1K——
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $4.7KOver $2.2K——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.6KOver $2.1K——
Will Italy win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.3KYes $1——
Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $850Yes $5——
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $302Rams $10——
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $43K——Seahawks $58K
49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $33KOver $2.6K——
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $22KOver $161——
Steelers vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
Steelers $19KSteelers $317——
Hornets vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Hornets
Hornets $17KHornets $433——
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.0KYes $12K——
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12KOver $1.7K——
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $9.9KJazz $650——
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $10KOver $339——
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.0KYes $4.7K——
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
Lakers $5.7KLakers $573——
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $5.3KJazz $64——
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.8KUnder $284——
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.8KYes $1.3K——
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $841Under $1.1K——
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
Team Spirit $916Team Spirit $981——
Spread: Rams (-9.5)
same side · consensus Rams
Cardinals $36Cardinals $1.5K——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $495Under $670——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6Under $529——
Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes
same side · consensus Utah Utes
Utah Utes $20Utah Utes $281——