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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fantasy7788 | ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 73% (212–77, n=289) | 54% (233–198, n=431) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $421K | $2.0K | $261K | $152K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #40 | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 59% (117 of 198 open) | 68% (75 of 110 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −1 pts, n=90 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | 39% of 175 at avg 39¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 49% (won 7% of 85) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 15% (won 37% of 27) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 15% (won 70% of 27) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 21% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
28 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $2 | Rockets $30K | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $43 | Under $27K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $112 | Thunder $5.9K | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $468 | Over $4.6K | — |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flyers | — | Oilers $2 | Flyers $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Jazz $18 | Magic $336 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $21 | Warriors $90 | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $25 | Under $63 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Jazz $22 | Magic $20 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $31 | Magic $3 | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $8 | Under $3 | — |
| Spread: IU Indy Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus IU Indy Jaguars | — | Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles $4 | IU Indy Jaguars $3 | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $26 | Rockets $19K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $220 | Magic $13K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $148 | Over $7.2K | — |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $41 | Under $7.3K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $32 | Vikings $6.3K | — |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) same side · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $44 | Vikings $5.6K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $136 | Thunder $5.2K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Magic $29 | Magic $3.7K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4 | Over $2.5K | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $13 | Over $2.2K | — |
| Penguins vs. Sharks same side · consensus Penguins | — | Sharks $43 | Sharks $2.0K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $15 | Seahawks $1.5K | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $13 | Over $1.5K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5 | Over $1.4K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Avalanche | — | Senators $76 | Senators $1.3K | — |
| Flyers vs. Oilers same side · consensus Oilers | — | Flyers $2 | Flyers $1.3K | — |
| Penguins vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $26 | Over $1.2K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $56 | Colts $1.1K | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $8 | Under $964 | — |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 157.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5 | Under $946 | — |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) same side · consensus Kraken | — | Kraken $37 | Kraken $862 | — |
| Spread: Boise State Broncos (-16.5) same side · consensus Oakland Golden Grizzlies | — | Boise State Broncos $35 | Boise State Broncos $742 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3 | Over $706 | — |
| Spread: Furman Paladins (-12.5) same side · consensus Holy Cross Crusaders | — | Furman Paladins $33 | Furman Paladins $452 | — |
| Spread: Oregon Ducks (-33.5) same side · consensus Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | — | Oregon Ducks $36 | Oregon Ducks $370 | — |
| Spread: Oregon Ducks (-36.5) same side · consensus Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | — | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils $10 | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils $109 | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $33 | Under $37 | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8 | Under $2 | — |