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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
crazyoddsloverFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL—$4.1M$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #304PM monthly #15PM monthly #44PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (100 of 135 open)40% (2 of 5 open)56% (36 of 64 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcrazyoddsloverFlaznorpprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Buccaneers vs. Bears
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $792Bears $7.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.4K—Over $136
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Bears $38Buccaneers $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Pelicans vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $1.3K—Clippers $119
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $101—Celtics $921
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $155—Mavericks $763
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $812—Over $12
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $500—Bucks $49
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Flyers vs. Flames: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $130—Under $99
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6—Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17K—Coco Gauff $58K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $10K—Timberwolves $49K
Celtics vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $3.9K—Celtics $33K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Bears $5.8KBears $28K
Nets vs. Mavericks
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $2.3K—Mavericks $18K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $14KOver $1.0K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9K—Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.3K—Yes $1.8K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.9K—Under $2.1K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.3K—Under $1.1K
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.8K—Over $1.1K
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $3.0K—Bucks $112
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.7K—Mavericks $1.1K
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.8K—Over $818
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.2K—Mavericks $738
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $422—Celtics $1.1K
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.2K—Mavericks $344
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $255—Celtics $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $658—Mavericks $482
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370—Giles Hussey $24
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
—Kings $344—Kings $41
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $120—Over $121
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41