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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| binakl | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (44–42, n=86) | 71% (3004–1251, n=4255) | 53% (539–479, n=1018) | 90% (18–2, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $519K | $642K | $530K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #863 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #65 | PM monthly #59 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 54% (130 of 239 open) | 54% (62 of 114 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=612 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 41% (won 6% of 540) | 12% (won 45% of 89) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 24% (won 38% of 322) | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 62% of 152) | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 24% (won 94% of 319) | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | binakl | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $15 | 49ers $79K | Cowboys $275 |
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $642 | Packers $6.3K | Vikings $14K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | — | Jaguars $73K | Titans $198K |
| Bills vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $122K | Jets $72K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $21K | Vikings $16K |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $15K | Over $9.0K | — |
| Will France win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $18K | Yes $4.3K | — |
| Spain vs. England: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $11K | Yes $9.6K | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | Over $562 | — |
| Will Italy win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $9.5K | Yes $20 | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $55 | — | Chiefs $8.8K |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $798 | Over $5.1K | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $5.0K | Over $278 | — |
| Spain vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.1K | Over $513 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | — | 76ers $4.1K | Pacers $248 |
| Italy leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.9K | Yes $8 | — |
| Spread: Belgium (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Italy | — | Belgium $2.1K | Italy $16 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $1.9K | 76ers $23 | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $1.1K | Oklahoma $623 | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | Over $154 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $28 | Under $529 | — |
| Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers opposite sides · consensus Air Force Falcons | — | Air Force Falcons $67 | Pacific Tigers $255 | — |
| Spread: England (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Spain | — | Spain $181 | England $9 | — |
| Will England win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $71K | Yes $6.0K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $627 | — | Seahawks $63K |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $19K | Yes $650 | — |
| Pacers vs. 76ers same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $7.4K | 76ers $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $159 | Mavericks $9.6K | — |
| Texans vs. Browns same side · consensus Texans | — | Browns $33 | Browns $6.1K | — |
| Will Spain win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | Yes $3.9K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $56 | Colts $2.0K | — |
| WTA Finals, Final Stage: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreeva same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva | — | Elina Svitolina $1.4K | Elina Svitolina $35 | — |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) same side · consensus Croatia | — | Croatia $883 | Croatia $184 | — |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) same side · consensus Türkiye | — | Türkiye $357 | Türkiye $1 | — |