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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkjhsadFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL—$4.1M$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1000PM monthly #16PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (83 of 118 open)83% (10 of 12 open)60% (35 of 58 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketasdkjhsadFlaznorpprimmRN1
Pelicans vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Pelicans $4.3K—Clippers $35K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $4.0KBears $10K
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $2.0KBears $5.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.9K—Over $106
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 240.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.0K—Over $73
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Pelicans $108—Clippers $1.1K
Spread: Heat (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Heat $91—Kings $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6—Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17K—Coco Gauff $58K
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $22KBuccaneers $17K
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $661—Keisuke Saitoh $24K
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $9.0KBuccaneers $9.2K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $12KBuccaneers $2.6K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9K—Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
—Sam Ryan Ziegann $797—Sam Ryan Ziegann $5.6K
Spread: Bears (-9.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $1.8KBuccaneers $3.9K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $88Buccaneers $4.7K
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Clippers $2.8K—Clippers $1.8K
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Bears $3.5KBears $366
Spread: Heat (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $2.9K—Kings $853
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.7K—Under $562
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.5K—Under $570
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.7K—Over $256
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.9K—Over $931
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.5K—Under $94
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.5K—Clippers $819
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.3K—Over $204
Spread: Bears (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $333Buccaneers $821
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370—Giles Hussey $24
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Pelicans $224—Pelicans $77
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $26