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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NM-P | primm | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (5526–1224, n=6750) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) | 49% (20671–21624, n=42295) |
| Consensus PnL | $52K | $3.6M | $14.8M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #338 | PM monthly #63 | PM monthly #36 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (95 of 141 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (67 of 121 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 257) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 860) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 100% of 888) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 100% of 2130) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NM-P | primm | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K | Under $21K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $231 | — | No $2.6K | No $3.1K |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $779 | — | Yes $27K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $126 | — | No $4.4K | — |
| Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $796 | — | Yes $3.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $6 | No $2.7K |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.1K | — | Yes $224 | — |
| Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | — | No $2.1K | — |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $813 | — | Yes $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $39 | — | No $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.3K | — | — | Yes $153 |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $71 |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $731 | — | Yes $166 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $25 | — | — | Yes $674 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $442 | — | Over $249 | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $401 | — | Over $258 | — |
| Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Hull City AFC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6 | — | No $506 | — |
| Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $327 | — | Yes $166 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $133 | — | Yes $50 | — |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $54 | — | Yes $119 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | — | No $12 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | — | No $15K |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $4.0K | — | No $9.2K | — |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.3K | — | No $8.7K | — |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $6.2K | — | No $3.2K | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $100 | — | No $6.4K | — |
| Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $153 | — | No $6.0K | — |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $168 | — | No $4.3K | — |
| Will Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $3.3K | — | No $60 | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | Under $855 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $872 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC? same side · consensus No | No $511 | — | No $1.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $23 | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 FC Bayern München? same side · consensus No | No $20 | — | No $910 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $41 | Under $801 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | No $39 | — | No $619 | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $480 | — | No $140 | — |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $600 | — | No $8 | — |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $471 | — | No $40 | — |
| Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $347 | — | No $156 | — |