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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | YEEES-but-why | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (307–269, n=576) | 46% (323–386, n=709) | 40% (4–6, n=10) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $308K | $250K | $365K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #26 | was PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #503 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (95 of 144 open) | 60% (67 of 112 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47% | 80% of 5 at avg 39¢, ROI +62% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 15) | 20% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 49) | 39% (won 100% of 88) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 100% of 101) | 47% (won 100% of 108) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 13) | 7% (won 100% of 17) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | YEEES-but-why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Mavericks $68 | Timberwolves $53K | — | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $21 | 76ers $29K | — | — |
| Spread: Memphis (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Memphis | Memphis $98 | South Florida $12K | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $7.6K | Suns $5 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $6 | Mavericks $7.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Wizards $2.1K | Pistons $4.5K | — | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | 76ers $3.1K | Raptors $2.9K | — | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1 | Over $4.9K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Wizards $2.0K | Pistons $51 | — | — |
| Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.0K | Over $62 | — | — |
| Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $823 | Over $51 | — | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Raptors $132 | 76ers $204 | — | — |
| Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars opposite sides · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions | South Alabama Jaguars $300 | Loyola Marymount Lions $3 | — | — |
| Memphis vs. South Florida opposite sides · consensus Memphis | Memphis $179 | South Florida $109 | — | — |
| Spread: Louisiana (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisiana | Louisiana-Monroe $35 | Louisiana $33 | — | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $37K | 76ers $184K | — | — |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) same side · consensus Giants | Commanders $2.6K | Commanders $79K | — | — |
| Jets vs. Stars same side · consensus Stars | Stars $10K | Stars $50K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Wizards same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $2.6K | Pistons $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Mavericks $6.4K | Mavericks $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Hornets $1.8K | Hornets $17K | — | — |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $6.8K | Under $7.3K | — | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Senators | Senators $9.4K | Senators $3.7K | — | — |
| Lightning vs. Blue Jackets same side · consensus Lightning | Blue Jackets $81 | Blue Jackets $9.6K | — | — |
| Blues vs. Utah same side · consensus Utah | Blues $4.9K | Blues $3.7K | — | — |
| Islanders vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | Islanders $49 | Islanders $8.5K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $7.6K | Under $115 | — | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $229 | Over $5.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-5.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Hornets $3.6K | Hornets $2 | — | — |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks same side · consensus Sabres | Blackhawks $3.3K | Blackhawks $164 | — | — |
| Spread: UTEP Miners (-4.5) same side · consensus UTEP Miners | UTEP Miners $1.5K | UTEP Miners $7 | — | — |
| Wild vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Wild | Maple Leafs $526 | Maple Leafs $715 | — | — |
| Spread: Memphis (-4.5) same side · consensus Memphis | Memphis $267 | Memphis $283 | — | — |
| Canadiens vs. Bruins same side · consensus Canadiens | Canadiens $385 | Canadiens $160 | — | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $21 | Over $128 | — | — |
| Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $13 | Over $44 | — | — |
| Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $7 | Over $33 | — | — |