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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Flaznorp | NM-P | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 82% (5526–1224, n=6750) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $52K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #338 | PM monthly #36 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (224 of 296 open) | 65% (106 of 163 open) | 54% (85 of 157 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 6% (won 100% of 257) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 21% (won 100% of 860) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 21% (won 100% of 888) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 52% (won 100% of 2130) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
81 on the same side, 65 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | NM-P | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $90K | No $779 | Yes $27K |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $29K | Over $272 | Under $11K |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $24K | No $813 | Yes $1.2K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14K | Yes $231 | No $2.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | Under $1.2K | Over $1.7K |
| Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.6K | No $327 | Yes $166 |
| Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $612 | Yes $39 | No $1.7K |
| Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 1 - 2 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $55 | No $467 | Yes $547 |
| Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | No $20 | No $910 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | No $480 | No $140 |
| Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Hull City AFC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $31 | Yes $6 | No $506 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19 | No $133 | Yes $50 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Carlos Alcaraz $23K | Carlos Alcaraz $1.2K | Carlos Alcaraz $9.8K |
| Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $24K | No $153 | No $6.1K |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $12K | No $6.2K | No $9.4K |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.5K | No $3.3K | No $8.7K |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | No $4.0K | No $9.2K |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $6.2K | No $168 | No $4.3K |
| Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 2 - 2 Manchester City FC? same side · consensus No | No $390 | No $106 | No $78 |
| Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 1 - 3 Manchester City FC? same side · consensus No | No $38 | No $239 | No $66 |
| Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $79 | No $9 | No $96 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $27K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.9K | Yes $201 | — |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6.2K | — | Over $3.2K |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6.5K | Under $401 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.4K | — | Under $305 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.2K | — | Under $19 |
| Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $981 | — | Yes $4.2K |
| Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Hull City AFC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.6K | — | Yes $362 |
| Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $126 | No $4.4K |
| Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $796 | Yes $3.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.2K | — | Under $2.6K |
| Spread: North Carolina (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | — | UConn $166 | North Carolina $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.1K | Yes $579 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Newcastle United FC | Newcastle United FC $2.5K | — | Fulham FC $48 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | No $1.3K | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $963 | — | Over $1.2K |
| Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $5 | No $2.1K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $368 | — | Under $1.7K |
| Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $67 | — | Over $1.8K |
| Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $57 | — | Yes $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino | Adrian Mannarino $1.8K | — | Jan Simonsson $7 |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $396 | — | Over $979 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $614 | No $489 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |