Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Under 67%
1 arb excluded
$8.2K
$1.7K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1CTR | Overavg 75¢ | $1.2K | — | $-1.2K | 53% 63014-55227 (118241) |
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 55.5¢ | $2.3K | $4.0K | +$1.7K | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 32¢ | $605.28 | — | -$533.28 | 48% 63191-68207 (131398) |
VE Venusian | Underavg 42.2¢ | $99.87 | $183.32 | +$83.45 | 49% 1844-1936 (3780) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872ARB<$100 | Underavg 35.9¢ | $621.96 | $1.1K | +$435.55 | 56% 8738-6795 (15533) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 55¢ | $242.34 | — | -$242.34 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 35.9¢ | $379.63 | $1.1K | +$677.89 | |
SN SnakeBall | Underavg 47.9¢ | $1.3K | $2.7K | +$1.4K | 51% 38648-37820 (76468) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 35¢ | $30 | — | -$30 | 50% 59994-58808 (118802) |
MA MadridTime | Underavg 30.3¢ | $60.57 | $200 | +$139.43 | 48% 1776-1912 (3688) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Overavg 48.6¢ | $16.22 | — | -$16.22 | 50% 21821-22062 (43883) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Underavg 24¢ | $14.3 | $44 | +$29.7 | 47% 9585-10702 (20287) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Underavg 21¢ | $8.89 | $42.39 | +$33.5 | 58% 23579-16943 (40522) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Underavg 21.6¢ | $4.59 | $21.26 | +$16.67 | 49% 14983-15895 (30878) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Underavg 23¢ | $2.76 | $13.79 | +$11.03 | 50% 26409-26025 (52434) |
RN1CTRInvested
$1,161
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
53%
63014-55227 (118241)
Invested
$2,267.61
Value
$4.0K
PnL
+$1.7K
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
Invested
$605.28
Value
—
PnL
-$533.28
Record
48%
63191-68207 (131398)
Invested
$99.87
Value
$183.32
PnL
+$83.45
Record
49%
1844-1936 (3780)
Invested
$621.96
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$435.55
Record
56%
8738-6795 (15533)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,288.08
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
51%
38648-37820 (76468)
Invested
$30
Value
—
PnL
-$30
Record
50%
59994-58808 (118802)
Invested
$60.57
Value
$200
PnL
+$139.43
Record
48%
1776-1912 (3688)
Invested
$16.22
Value
—
PnL
-$16.22
Record
50%
21821-22062 (43883)
Invested
$14.3
Value
$44
PnL
+$29.7
Record
47%
9585-10702 (20287)
Invested
$8.89
Value
$42.39
PnL
+$33.5
Record
58%
23579-16943 (40522)
Invested
$4.59
Value
$21.26
PnL
+$16.67
Record
49%
14983-15895 (30878)
Invested
$2.76
Value
$13.79
PnL
+$11.03
Record
50%
26409-26025 (52434)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
CTROver — $0
Flaznorp
Under — $4.0K
38791873984189
CTROver — $0
Venusian
Under — $183.32
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
ARBArbitrage — excluded
SnakeBall
Under — $2.7K
cigarettes
CTROver — $0
MadridTime
Under — $200
omnibus-076daa
CTROver — $0
lryyy
Under — $44