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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpNM-PRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)83% (5381–1110, n=6491)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$47K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #498PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus81% (25 of 31 open)74% (101 of 137 open)67% (51 of 76 open)52% (26 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 100% of 256)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 859)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 884)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 2087)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpNM-PRN1
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.4KNo $1.8KYes $4
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.0KYes $3.5KNo $9
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.3KNo $1.1KYes $11
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8Under $166Under $323
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $86K—Jaguars $445—
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $79K—Jaguars $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5K—No $104
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $25—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $937Yes $47—
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $886—Under $81
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $621No $144—
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
—Miami (FL) $391Notre Dame $355—
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $451—Over $230
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $318—No $359
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $553No $32—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $170Seahawks $403—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $67—Warriors $505
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $281—Jaguars $268—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $440—Warriors $109
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Broncos $300Panthers $152—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $40—No $182
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $141—Over $69
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $104—Over $18
Clube do Remo leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $25—Yes $2
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $28K—SE Palmeiras $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
—Alice Tubello $3.2K—Alice Tubello $11K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $375—
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $810—
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $2.4K—SE Palmeiras $665
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $184—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $489—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.0K—Over $826
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.3K—Over $411
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $20—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $144—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $7—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $359No $454—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $739No $44—
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $547No $203—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
CS Cartaginés leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $338—No $353