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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DonghuiFlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2047–832, n=2879)54% (446–384, n=830)55% (389–318, n=707)
Consensus PnL—$386K$332K$445K
Tracked asPM monthly #444PM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)58% (80 of 138 open)72% (80 of 111 open)45% (30 of 66 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 62)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)59% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)8% (won 100% of 15)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDonghuiFlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $11KSpirit $5—Spirit $402
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $388Heat $1.1KHeat $46
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1KColts $3
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4.9K—Yes $375
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
——UConn $2.1KJames Madison $1.3K
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Alabama $1.5KVanderbilt $983
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $2.4KMavericks $88
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.5KUSC $2
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $436—Yes $1.3K
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $886—Yes $365
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14Under $946—
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
——Mississippi State $393Auburn $373
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $366Miami (FL) $48—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $108—Under $76
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $79—Over $11
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
——Alabama $62Vanderbilt $13
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $12KOver $1.5K
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $6.4KIndiana $911
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Sam Houston
——Kennesaw State $2.2KKennesaw State $1.3K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
——Browns $2.3KBrowns $1.1K
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KUnder $200
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
——Vanderbilt $2.1KVanderbilt $542
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.7KUnder $5
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K—
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $6Over $851
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus South Carolina
——South Carolina $263South Carolina $542
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Baylor
——BYU $302BYU $362
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M
——Texas A&M $23Texas A&M $524
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $445Pelicans $96
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
same side · consensus Hurricanes
——Kraken $43Kraken $54