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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CryptoSlonferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)61% (11–7, n=18)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$4.5K-$8.8M$4.1M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)69% (49 of 71 open)67% (97 of 144 open)54% (40 of 74 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCryptoSlonferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $85KCardinals $121Seahawks $3.8K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $32KLakers $6.4KLakers $89
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13KOver $1.7K
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KOver $191Over $186
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $943Mavericks $499Nets $144
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Texans $68K—Chargers $3.6K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Celtics $28K—Bucks $116
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $22KMavericks $402—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $19KOver $390—
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Timberwolves $11K—Jazz $116
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.4K—Over $126
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $8.2KPistons $215—
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Patriots $3.9K—Packers $4.3K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Chargers $2—Texans $7.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $4.8KHeat $298—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $859Over $3.0K
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
—Patriots $2.6K—Packers $522
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $3.1KT1 $5—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.6KNo $145
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.5K—Under $116
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Lakers $769Pistons $307
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $471No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
——Temple Owls $4Richmond Spiders $268
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Texans $10—Chargers $55
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6Over $29
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6Under $2
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $49K—Coco Gauff $44K
Texans vs. Chargers
same side · consensus Texans
—Texans $55K—Texans $11K
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $38KNo $3.5K
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $18K—Heat $138
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Seahawks $2.8K—Seahawks $9.5K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $149—Seahawks $6.8K
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $2.2K—Seahawks $4.1K
Lakers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $245Lakers $6.0K—
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.0KNo $3.7K
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
——Richmond Spiders $3.7KRichmond Spiders $674
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
——Lakers $3.4KLakers $569
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $3.2KLakers $676
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.5KNo $2.2K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
—Raiders $3.6K—Raiders $10
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K