Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ByteBadger93ferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)56% (1156–919, n=2075)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$46K-$8.8M$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #977was PM monthly #87PM monthly #8PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (56 of 93 open)no open consensus position57% (88 of 154 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +14 pts n=644, ROI +14%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won72% of 656 at avg 58¢, ROI +14%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 12% of 91)4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 58% of 106)26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 80% of 235)40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 95% of 224)30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketByteBadger93ferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $8.0K—Eagles $8.1K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $11K—76ers $371
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7.7K—Over $524
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Under $6.4K
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $5—Chiefs $6.5K
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Broncos $6.0K—Panthers $2
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Jets $53—Chiefs $5.6K
Lima: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Nicolas Jarry
opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Jarry
—Nicolas Jarry $5.5K—Felipe Meligeni Alves $90
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $2.7K—Saints $1.4K
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $1.7K—Chiefs $2.1K
Spread: Lions (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $1.5K—Lions $1.8K
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $55—Eagles $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Over $657
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Under $25
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $208
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6—Under $1.3K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $345—Over $958
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $363—Eagles $485
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $95—Over $99
Spread: Saints (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $49K—Browns $14K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $42K—Chiefs $14K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $9.0K—Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Rams $3.0K—Rams $7.9K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.1K—Over $1.3K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.4K—Under $2.0K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Cowboys $6.9K—Cowboys $1.9K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $8.0K—Over $124
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $5.3K—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $597—Over $5.6K
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Marta Kostyuk
—Marta Kostyuk $305—Marta Kostyuk $2.9K
Broncos vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.3K—Over $1.3K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 28.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.0K—Under $1.2K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
—Eagles $1.1K—Eagles $1.1K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $26—Over $1.9K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $248—Chiefs $1.6K
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
same side · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $871—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $831
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $142
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Schalke 04
—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $1.1K—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $26
Spread: Rams (-2.5)
same side · consensus Rams
—Rams $838—Rams $149
Panthers vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
—Panthers $560—Panthers $18
Spread: Broncos (-5.5)
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $6—Broncos $120