Consensus PnL $37K · win rate 55% (1113–899, n=2012) · was PM monthly #1000 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$36.9K
Record
1113W / 899L
Win Rate
55.0%
of 2012 settled
Batting Avg
80.1%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#945
Source
PM monthly #1000
Record (90 d)
308/441 · 70%
Trades
24,742
Markets
3,209
Volume
$437.4K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp $4 · now 0¢ · in at 63¢with the consensus (56% of 18)
Specialties
620 settled consensus markets · held side won 71% at an average entry of 57¢- Crypto
+13 pts
side won 70% of 608 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +13%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 15%(won 11% of 90)
- 30–50¢: 17%(won 57% of 103)
- 50–70¢: 36%(won 80% of 225)
- 70¢ and up: 33%(won 94% of 202)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.