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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankfantasy7788HomeRunHazardsuntori
Record (consensus markets)58% (22–16, n=38)56% (5–4, n=9)55% (216–179, n=395)58% (491–359, n=850)
Consensus PnL$837K$421K$290K-$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #43PM monthly #7was PM monthly #792
Sides with the consensus53% (8 of 15 open)0% (0 of 1 open)64% (108 of 168 open)41% (98 of 237 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%—
Entries under 30¢0%20% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢57% (won 100% of 13)20% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 31)—
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 100% of 9)60% (won 100% of 3)57% (won 100% of 55)—
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)0%10% (won 100% of 10)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankfantasy7788HomeRunHazardsuntori
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Grizzlies $126K—Nuggets $5.0KNuggets $536
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $15K—Nuggets $19KGrizzlies $8
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $27K—Thunder $4.6KTrail Blazers $580
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $676—Thunder $4.3KThunder $9
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $133—Thunder $3.7KTrail Blazers $55
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $468—Grizzlies $1.3KNuggets $119
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Lakers $3.3K—Lakers $20KLakers $6
Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $49KOver $29
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Team Falcons
—Legacy $7.2K—Team Falcons $1.4K
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $7.0KUnder $19
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $5.6KUnder $30
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.9KOver $68
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Sacramento State $2.8KCentral Michigan $58
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.6KUnder $10
Buffalo vs. Ball State
opposite sides · consensus Buffalo
——Ball State $1.1KBuffalo $14
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Bucks $984Lakers $2
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
——Warriors $87Rockets $773
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $383Over $10
Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $299Over $4
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $141Grizzlies $21
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Nets $100Pelicans $41
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $30Over $110
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $53Over $6
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Grizzlies $2—Nuggets $49—
Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $19Under $27
Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $10Over $14
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $4Over $5
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Ciryl Gane
Ciryl Gane $325K——Ciryl Gane $852
Utah vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
——Golden Knights $15KGolden Knights $9
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Magic $12KMagic $17
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $12KOver $54
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $8.2KOver $210
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.3KUnder $54
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Bucks $4.4KBucks $17
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Magic $4.0KMagic $41
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.7KOver $14
Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.4KOver $6
Hornets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $538Suns $5
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $212Magic $2
Pacific Tigers vs. Long Beach State Beach
same side · consensus Pacific Tigers
——Long Beach State Beach $52Long Beach State Beach $67
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Timberwolves $66Timberwolves $7
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Magic $17Magic $43
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Grizzlies $29Grizzlies $21