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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | juliuscheesar | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (73–52, n=125) | 70% (3052–1278, n=4330) | 86% (18–3, n=21) | 53% (568–497, n=1065) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.5M | $539K | $16K | $613K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #970 | PM monthly #76 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (6 of 15 open) | 54% (97 of 181 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 59% (47 of 80 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=653 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 61 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 27 at avg 78¢, ROI −9% | 75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 41% (won 5% of 566) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 41% of 104) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 100% of 25) | 24% (won 38% of 335) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 25% (won 70% of 203) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 100% of 33) | 11% (won 62% of 157) | 22% (won 100% of 6) | 45% (won 78% of 370) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 94% of 326) | 70% (won 100% of 19) | 18% (won 97% of 149) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | juliuscheesar | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $1.5M | Cowboys $11 | — | 49ers $95K |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $2.7K | Suns $88 | — | Lakers $561 |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs same side · consensus Team Spirit | — | Team Spirit $3 | Team Spirit $52 | Team Spirit $1.1K |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $44K | — | — | 49ers $1.4K |
| Hornets vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $42K | — | — | Hornets $380 |
| Spread: 49ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $30K | — | — | 49ers $222 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $4.0K | — | — | 49ers $4.9K |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $161 | — | Over $6.5K |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Knicks $4 | — | Raptors $5.4K |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $30 | — | Under $1.8K |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Knicks $138 | — | Raptors $1.6K |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Mavericks $135 | — | Celtics $1.2K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $854 | — | Celtics $285 |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $10 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $410 | — | Under $647 |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Spurs $405 | — | Jazz $64 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | Wizards $182 | — | Rockets $90 |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2 | — | Over $177 |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $149K | — | — | Cowboys $71K |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Celtics $5.2K | — | Celtics $39K |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $548 | — | Raptors $12K |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $143 | — | Mavericks $11K |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Clippers $1.1K | — | — | Clippers $5.0K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $368 | — | Under $3.2K |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Jazz $1.5K | — | Jazz $626 |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.9K | — | Under $211 |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $796 | — | Under $294 |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $404 | — | Under $472 |
| Spread: Celtics (-15.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $22 | — | Celtics $571 |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $305 | — | Under $192 |
| Spread: Celtics (-16.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $244 | — | Celtics $154 |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Spurs $187 | — | Spurs $199 |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $93 | Suns $69 | — | — |
| Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers same side · consensus Pacific Tigers | — | Air Force Falcons $15 | — | Air Force Falcons $50 |