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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1ydxistheking
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)53% (142–124, n=266)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$14.8M$49K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #30 + pinnedwas PM monthly #942
Sides with the consensus71% (42 of 59 open)71% (140 of 197 open)55% (82 of 148 open)72% (13 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%62% of 204 at avg 55¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)25% (won 12% of 50)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)13% (won 26% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)21% (won 77% of 43)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)41% (won 95% of 84)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1ydxistheking
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $23KNo $63—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $2.5K76ers $79776ers $371—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179K—Cowboys $1.9K—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $110K—No $2.5K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $101K—Cowboys $1.9K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K—Eagles $20—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $37K—Eagles $8.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K—Eagles $1.6K—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320Rams $11K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $5.6KOlympique de Marseille $3—
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.8KYes $108—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
—FC Schalke 04 $2.6KTSG 1899 Hoffenheim $468—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $299Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.2K—
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3KNo $2—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $231Virginia Cavaliers $564—
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $772No $4—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $240—76ers $155—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $349Virginia Cavaliers $2—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334Under $7—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $285No $11—
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $158Under $95—
Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $241Yes $3—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks
—Arkansas Razorbacks $6Virginia Cavaliers $49—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $45KColts $63——
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $18KNo $14K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $18KUnder $12K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $17KUnder $10K—
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7.1KOver $10K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $3.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13KCD Cobresal $3.5K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.7KNo $2.3K—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $7.3KNo $6—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4KNo $2.9K—
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.8KYes $1.8K—
Will St. Truidense VV win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.5KNo $1—
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $934No $4.4K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.2KOver $712—
Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.0KNo $405—
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Andres Martin
—Andres Martin $2.8KAndres Martin $22—