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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1smash-to-net
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #31 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus77% (46 of 60 open)73% (132 of 181 open)55% (86 of 157 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1smash-to-net
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $151K76ers $71576ers $371—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $339KNo $113KNo $55K—
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $190K—Eagles $10K—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $115K—No $2.9K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101K—Cowboys $6.1K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K—Eagles $66—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320Rams $14K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $12KUnder $65—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K—Eagles $496—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.3KYes $614—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.2KOlympique de Marseille $1—
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.1KNo $2.7K—
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $6.5KClub Atlético de Madrid $3—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $391Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KUnder $420—
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3KNo $2—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Calvin Hemery $970Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $447—76ers $155—
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $90Over $301—
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $381Over $7—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334Under $7—
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $129Under $131—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $66Over $124—
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger
—Mitchell Krueger $99Samir Banerjee $2—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $208K—Under $4.4K—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K—Giants $7.7K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KColts $63——
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.3KBroncos $44K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $22KNo $18K—
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21K—Chiefs $11K—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $21KBulls $1.4K——
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K—
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.4KChiefs $13K—
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $14KClub Atlético de Madrid $3.6K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13KCD Cobresal $3.5K—
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.6KNo $1.7K—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $7.8KNo $5—
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $5.8K—
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $6.3K—Browns $305—
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.2KNo $439—