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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bloodmaster2 | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (13–8, n=21) | 52% (16–15, n=31) | 71% (2547–1041, n=3588) | 53% (494–432, n=926) |
| Consensus PnL | -$76K | $795K | $493K | $353K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #707 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 44% (74 of 169 open) | 68% (135 of 200 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 16 at avg 79¢, ROI −22% | 100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 53% (won 100% of 9) | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 80% of 5) | 35% (won 100% of 6) | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 69% (won 82% of 11) | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bloodmaster2 | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | — | Mavericks $13K | Cavaliers $6.5K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $90 | Under $15K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $372 | Under $8.1K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Mavericks $10 | Cavaliers $4.8K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Grizzlies $1.7K | Nets $2.8K |
| Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 143.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $26 | Under $1.4K |
| UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs opposite sides · consensus UC Riverside Highlanders | — | — | Fresno State Bulldogs $1.0K | UC Riverside Highlanders $207 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $16 | Under $972 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | — | Arkansas $637 | South Carolina $258 |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $58 | Over $670 |
| South Alabama Jaguars vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 136.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3 | Under $286 |
| Spread: Providence Friars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars | — | — | Colorado Buffaloes $258 | Providence Friars $5 |
| Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers | — | — | Saint Joseph's Hawks $90 | Penn Quakers $153 |
| Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | — | — | Colorado Buffaloes $229 | Providence Friars $3 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $108 | Under $65 |
| Spread: San Francisco Dons (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons | — | — | San Francisco Dons $113 | Portland State Vikings $52 |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $50 | Over $113 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | — | Grizzlies $3 | Nets $11 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Gen.G | — | Bilibili Gaming $101K | Bilibili Gaming $489 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Pelicans $6.2K | Pelicans $18K |
| Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-4.5) same side · consensus West Georgia Wolves | — | — | Charleston Southern Buccaneers $7.4K | Charleston Southern Buccaneers $3.9K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $398 | Under $6.9K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $91 | Under $4.3K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Cavaliers $144 | Cavaliers $4.1K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Cavaliers $248 | Cavaliers $3.4K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Cavaliers $75 | Cavaliers $2.1K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | — | — | Texas Tech $374 | Texas Tech $1.1K |
| UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs: O/U 149.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $12 | Under $1.4K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Falcons $174 | Falcons $1.2K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Bulls $111 | Bulls $1.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K |
| Spread: San Francisco Dons (-9.5) same side · consensus San Francisco Dons | — | — | San Francisco Dons $33 | San Francisco Dons $771 |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7 | Under $710 |
| UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $38 | Under $632 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-10.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Mavericks $181 | Mavericks $115 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $23 | Under $245 |