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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2760–1153, n=3913)52% (573–526, n=1099)53% (510–448, n=958)
Consensus PnL$0$526K$388K$681K
Tracked asPM monthly #982PM monthly #8PM monthly #9PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position61% (75 of 123 open)65% (51 of 79 open)44% (31 of 71 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)2% (won 100% of 5)12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)31% (won 100% of 84)23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)60% (won 100% of 161)44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)7% (won 100% of 20)20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $27Arizona $2.7KUtah $21K
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Flames $361Flames $6.0KFlames $11K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1KColts $3
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $8.0KPepperdine Waves $133K
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
—Ciryl Gane $81—Josh Hokit $37K
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $12KUnder $3.1K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Vikings $7.9KPackers $2.4K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Chiefs $8.7K—
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
——Vikings $5.9KPackers $6
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.4KOver $2.2K
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.8KUnder $426
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.1KOver $91
Spread: Wyoming (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
——UTEP $1.9KWyoming $679
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $1.6K—Oklahoma $507
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Lions $33Patriots $59
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
——Chiefs $2.5KChiefs $12K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $12KOver $677
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
——Patriots $6.1KPatriots $6.0K
Spread: Washington State (-8.5)
same side · consensus Washington State
——Colorado State $8.8KColorado State $1.2K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303Vikings $6.7K—
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 41.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $138Over $6.3K
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $4.2KOver $1.7K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $634—Texas Tech $4.8K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
——Browns $2.4KBrowns $1.2K
Panthers vs. Saints
same side · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $3.1K—Panthers $225
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $332Rockets $75
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $37—Islanders $368
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
same side · consensus Flames
—Flames $225—Flames $171
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
same side · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $7Nevada Wolf Pack $306—
Spread: North Dakota State (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
——North Dakota State $130North Dakota State $154
Spread: Utah State (-2.5)
same side · consensus Utah State
——Utah State $10Utah State $196
Spread: North Dakota State (-6.5)
same side · consensus North Dakota State
——North Dakota State $10North Dakota State $179
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $18—Over $141