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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2dda38...f23b34fantasy7788Flaznorpnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (16–14, n=30)71% (2284–931, n=3215)55% (394–322, n=716)
Consensus PnL$0$586K$430K$426K
Tracked asPM monthly #979PM monthly #36PM monthly #13PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position48% (155 of 321 open)53% (95 of 179 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 396)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 215)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 63% of 112)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 265)20% (won 98% of 118)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2dda38...f23b34fantasy7788Flaznorpnigiri99
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $14KYes $38K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $1.3KNets $16K
Will Poland win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $12KYes $3.4K
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $1.6KYes $13K
Will Austria win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $6.9KYes $516
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.3KOver $4.4K
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.5KUnder $562
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.7KYes $1.1K
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $518Yes $2.1K
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $186Over $1.9K
Spread: Denmark (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
——Denmark $669Portugal $799
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $958Mavericks $120
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
——Ole Miss $263Oklahoma $507
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $197Over $351
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
——Hurricanes $23Kraken $341
Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $253Under $2
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $39Over $2
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
——Portugal $25Denmark $6
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $4.3KNets $25K
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $13KUnder $322
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $98Nets $8.6K
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KUnder $581
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.7KOver $76
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $987Yes $25
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
same side · consensus Miami (FL)
——Duke $397Duke $388
Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $257Under $414
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
——Georgia State $6Georgia State $520
Will Denmark win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $468Yes $9
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $234
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State
same side · consensus Iowa State
——Cincinnati $7Cincinnati $218
Spread: Poland (-2.5)
same side · consensus Romania
——Poland $44Poland $150
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $41Over $106
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $96Yes $3
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $3
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $36Under $4