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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2dda38...f23b34FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2284–931, n=3215)48% (513–552, n=1065)85% (22–4, n=26)
Consensus PnL$0$430K$546K$318K
Tracked asPM monthly #979PM monthly #13PM monthly #18PM monthly #120
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (155 of 321 open)65% (98 of 150 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%91% of 23 at avg 70¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 396)6% (won 100% of 19)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 215)37% (won 100% of 126)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 63% of 112)50% (won 100% of 171)22% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 265)7% (won 100% of 25)61% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2dda38...f23b34FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $45Mavericks $31K—
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28Under $30K—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $397Miami (FL) $12K—
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina
—Arkansas State $387Coastal Carolina $10K—
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $1.5KDenmark $6.2K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.5KUnder $3.8K—
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.7KUnder $3.9K—
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4.6KYes $80—
Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $257Over $3.5K—
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bradley Braves
—George Mason Patriots $73Bradley Braves $2.2K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $127Mavericks $1.4K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $460Kentucky $940—
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
—Northern Kentucky Norse $4Central Michigan Chippewas $1.3K—
Will Algeria win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $88—
Knoxville: Clement Chidekh vs Michael Zheng
opposite sides · consensus Clement Chidekh
—Michael Zheng $987Clement Chidekh $204—
Will Angola win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $912No $6—
Will UD Almería vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $758Yes $28—
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $12Hurricanes $741—
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $642Yes $34—
Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
—George Mason Patriots $589Bradley Braves $2—
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
—Bradley Braves $64George Mason Patriots $493—
Will South Sudan win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5No $123—
Will Togo win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $88No $40—
Will Algeria vs. Togo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $42No $44—
Pallacanestro Reggiana vs. Pallacanestro Varese
opposite sides · consensus Pallacanestro Varese
—Pallacanestro Reggiana $9Pallacanestro Varese $22—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
same side · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $23Hurricanes $40K—
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
—Kansas $3Kansas $27K—
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $13KUnder $2.8K—
UD Almería vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.6KUnder $281—
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
same side · consensus Ohio State
—Northwestern $79Northwestern $3.4K—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.8KNo $334—
Brose Bamberg vs. Telekom Baskets Bonn
same side · consensus Telekom Baskets Bonn
—Telekom Baskets Bonn $1.7KTelekom Baskets Bonn $302—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.3KUnder $291—
RCD Mallorca vs. Córdoba CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $40—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $314Over $125—
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Colorado State Rams
same side · consensus Loyola Chicago Ramblers
—Loyola Chicago Ramblers $366Loyola Chicago Ramblers $27—
Hamburg Towers vs. Wuerzburg
same side · consensus Wuerzburg
—Wuerzburg $366Wuerzburg $9—
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State
same side · consensus Iowa State
—Cincinnati $7Cincinnati $251—
Algeria vs. Togo: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $97Yes $103—
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $9Kraken $43—