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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | RN1 | Shady-Tool | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 75% (594–196, n=790) | 67% (354–171, n=525) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $19K | -$102K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #43 + pinned | PM monthly #430 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (14 of 24 open) | 64% (147 of 228 open) | 55% (56 of 102 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | NBA −15 pts, n=13 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 84% of 199 at avg 85¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 5% (won 22% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 5% (won 44% of 9) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 5% (won 60% of 10) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 86% (won 91% of 171) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
39 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | RN1 | Shady-Tool |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks vs. Knicks opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $8.5K | Bucks $16 | Knicks $4.0K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $37K | Bucks $52 | Bucks $169 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Celtics | 76ers $3.6K | 76ers $45 | 76ers $185 | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) $70 | Miami (OH) $35 | Miami (OH) $386 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $18K | — | Knicks $322 | — |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6.2K | Under $605 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | Magic $201 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $4.7K | Kings $2 | — | — |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Over $30 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $792 | 76ers $266 | — |
| W75 Brisbane: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Olivia Gadecki opposite sides · consensus Sahaja Yamalapalli | — | Sahaja Yamalapalli $104 | Olivia Gadecki $839 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 197.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $900 | Under $25 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Bucks $871 | Knicks $2 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $774 | Over $45 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $136 | Over $550 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $461 | Under $171 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $524 | Bucks $42 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $154 | Under $400 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 211.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $384 | Under $108 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 203.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $419 | Under $52 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | 76ers $98 | Celtics $252 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 199.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $253 | Under $15 | — |
| Delaware State Hornets vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 143.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $206 | Under $55 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 201.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $213 | Under $19 | — |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Michigan State Spartans | — | Duke Blue Devils $2 | Michigan State Spartans $205 | — |
| Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes | — | Iowa Hawkeyes $79 | Virginia Tech Hokies $68 | — |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $5 | Over $123 | — |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 201.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $119 | Over $5 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Knicks $84 | Bucks $3 | — |
| NJIT Highlanders vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 145.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $3 | Over $50 | — |
| South Alabama Jaguars vs. UCF Knights opposite sides · consensus South Alabama Jaguars | — | South Alabama Jaguars $3 | UCF Knights $12 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $40K | Heat $6.2K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $25K | — | Celtics $9.2K | — |
| Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski same side · consensus Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron $13K | — | Marcos Giron $13K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $17K | Over $5 | — | — |
| Brisbane 3: Matthew Dellavedova vs Sebastian Gorzny same side · consensus Sebastian Gorzny | — | Sebastian Gorzny $2.2K | Sebastian Gorzny $4.3K | — |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.9K | Under $90 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-12.5) same side · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $1.6K | Knicks $1.2K | — |
| Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Troy Trojans same side · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions | — | Loyola Marymount Lions $1.5K | Loyola Marymount Lions $928 | — |
| Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 7.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $217 | Under $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) same side · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | 76ers $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Bucks (-1.5) same side · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $1.0K | Knicks $151 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-19.5) same side · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $1.0K | Knicks $4 | — |
| Memphis Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores same side · consensus Vanderbilt Commodores | — | Vanderbilt Commodores $46 | Vanderbilt Commodores $843 | — |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $839 | Under $14 | — |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $572 | Under $42 | — |
| Delaware State Hornets vs. Georgetown Hoyas same side · consensus Georgetown Hoyas | — | Georgetown Hoyas $521 | Georgetown Hoyas $12 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-28.5) same side · consensus Bucks | — | Knicks $489 | Knicks $1 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $306 | Under $100 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $53 | Under $331 | — |