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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)32% (12–26, n=38)no settled market54% (68–57, n=125)50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL-$22K—$1.1K-$53K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #7was PM monthly #979PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus position59% (91 of 155 open)51% (42 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1676 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 100% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)12% (won 100% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)26% (won 100% of 443)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 973)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677Pan9XRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $53Over $1.8K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.6K—Hornets $45Cavaliers $726
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $52Over $360
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0K——Billy Harris $6.2K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $80No $2.4K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
——Nuggets $30Rockets $2.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $46Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $85Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $39Under $1.1K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Leo Borg vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $464—Leo Borg $5—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $106Over $36
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $59Yes $60
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $12Rockets $80
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21—No $20—
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
——Clement Tabur $27Clement Tabur $25K
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $8.1K—Over $17—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $298Over $3.0K
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Rockets $39Rockets $2.5K
Idaho Vandals vs. Washington State Cougars (W)
same side · consensus Washington State Cougars
——Washington State Cougars $163Washington State Cougars $1.9K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $10Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $38Rockets $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $63Under $1.4K
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $34Rockets $669
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $116No $524
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $64Lakers $441
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $38Lakers $416
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
——Geoffrey Blancaneaux $4Geoffrey Blancaneaux $424
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $36Over $356
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $147—No $240—
Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $17Over $359
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $56Suns $245
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $44Rockets $256
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
——Pistons $18Pistons $243
Missouri State Bears vs. Wyoming Cowboys (W)
same side · consensus Missouri State Bears
——Missouri State Bears $5Missouri State Bears $248
Wizards vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $49Pistons $204
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Pelicans $57Pelicans $158
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
——Pistons $16Pistons $195
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Spurs $14Spurs $144
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $16Under $142
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Rockets $31Rockets $119
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $13Warriors $134
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $19Pelicans $128
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $19Raptors $126
Sopo: Tamara Zidansek vs Julia Grabher
same side · consensus Julia Grabher
——Tamara Zidansek $7Tamara Zidansek $127
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $15Under $114
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Cavaliers $11Cavaliers $115
Pacers vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $17Under $98
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $81Yes $7
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Texas Mean Green (W)
same side · consensus Duke Blue Devils
——Duke Blue Devils $29Duke Blue Devils $43