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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)32% (12–26, n=38)49% (33–34, n=67)no settled market54% (68–57, n=125)
Consensus PnL-$22K$35K—$1.1K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #7was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)67% (164 of 243 open)no open consensus position59% (91 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1676 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 100% of 57)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)12% (won 100% of 203)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)26% (won 100% of 443)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 973)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Pan9X
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.1KUnder $3—Over $17
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $147Yes $2.7K—No $240
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.6KHornets $162—Hornets $45
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K—Under $53
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $80
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $81
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $298
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $41
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $956—Under $49
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $689—Rockets $31
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $116
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $412—Over $152
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $445—Under $63
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Warriors $481—Pelicans $19
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Leo Borg vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $464——Leo Borg $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $116
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $204—Hawks $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $199—Over $7
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Mavericks $180—Pacers $19
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $142—Nuggets $30
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $126—Nuggets $31
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $94—Over $39
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $116—Nuggets $12
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Nuggets $93—Rockets $34
Bills vs. Vikings
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $77—Vikings $28
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $21—Rockets $39
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Grizzlies $41—Raptors $19
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Hornets $40—Cavaliers $13
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21——No $20
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3—Under $10
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.7KOver $86——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5K—No $46
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3.5K—Rockets $38
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $106
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Clement Tabur $2.6K—Clement Tabur $27
Matsuyama: Niels McDonald vs Koki Matsuda
same side · consensus Koki Matsuda
—Niels McDonald $1.9K—Niels McDonald $24
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $1.8K—Pelicans $57
Cavaliers vs. Hornets
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $1.8K—Cavaliers $18
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $1.4K—Wizards $21
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $52
Monastir: Moise Kouame vs Robert Strombachs
same side · consensus Moise Kouame
—Moise Kouame $1.2K—Moise Kouame $11
Matsuyama: Shunsuke Nakagawa vs David Jorda Sanchis
same side · consensus David Jorda Sanchis
—David Jorda Sanchis $953—David Jorda Sanchis $82
Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino
same side · consensus Benjamin Bonzi
—Benjamin Bonzi $939—Benjamin Bonzi $41
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $836—No $59
Pelicans vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $858—Pelicans $20
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $680—Suns $56
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $596—No $9
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $556—Lakers $21
Spread: Spurs (-21.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $459—Suns $32