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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 54% (208–178, n=386) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $230K | $152K | $208K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (99 of 166 open) | 66% (111 of 167 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 25% (won 100% of 12) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 29% (won 100% of 14) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1 | Under $30K | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | Warriors $2 | Rockets $26K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Bucks $2 | Lakers $14K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6 | Over $5.3K | — | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $371 | Over $4.5K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $597 | Pelicans $3.9K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $6 | Over $4.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $13 | Bucks $3.3K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $23 | Over $2.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $29 | Bucks $1.6K | — | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2 | Under $931 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $60 | Under $791 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $3 | Magic $239 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Spurs $3 | Bulls $232 | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $3 | Nuggets $192 | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $7 | Under $121 | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $38 | Under $9 | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $4 | Nuggets $37 | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4 | Under $9 | — | — |
| Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | Tulsa Golden Hurricane $4 | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles $5 | — | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $3 | Over $4 | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $9 | Under $37K | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Nuggets $57 | Nuggets $22K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $279 | Magic $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $129 | Bulls $10K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $16 | Over $9.7K | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $131 | Spurs $9.3K | — | — |
| Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $43 | Over $5.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $5 | Nets $5.2K | — | — |
| Flyers vs. Oilers same side · consensus Oilers | Flyers $6 | Flyers $4.3K | — | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $17 | Over $2.3K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $19 | Under $1.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-9.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $7 | Bucks $1.6K | — | — |
| Penguins vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $42 | Over $1.4K | — | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Avalanche | Senators $76 | Senators $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Boise State Broncos (-16.5) same side · consensus Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Boise State Broncos $42 | Boise State Broncos $829 | — | — |
| Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos same side · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $30 | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $819 | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $39 | Grizzlies $764 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Spurs $7 | Spurs $341 | — | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $15 | Over $308 | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-16.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $2 | Bucks $95 | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $23 | Nets $66 | — | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $29 | Under $37 | — | — |