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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying88888BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (211–156, n=367)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$5.7K$7.7M$4.1M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (10 of 20 open)81% (29 of 36 open)73% (82 of 112 open)67% (32 of 48 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won100% of 112 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 50)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying88888BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $264—Over $3.1KOver $2.9K
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $408—Under $928Under $149
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $494——Buccaneers $16K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $841Bears $12K——
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $409——Buccaneers $9.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $2.6K——Buccaneers $2.6K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.6K——Under $2.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $859Over $3.0K
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
——Penguins $14Ducks $3.5K
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $63——Over $3.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Kings $139—Heat $2.4K—
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $54——Buccaneers $2.4K
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Kings $134—Heat $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Will Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $928No $519
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $1.1KBears $96——
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $859Over $202
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $471No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
——Coco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $58K
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $13KHeat $31K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
——Patrick Zahraj $5.9KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K
Spread: Heat (-11.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $442—Heat $2.9K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $1.6K—Bilibili Gaming $273—
Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $475
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $940Over $758
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $831Under $2
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
——Giles Hussey $370Giles Hussey $24
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $177Under $41
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
——No $4No $26