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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (594–553, n=1147) | 53% (542–483, n=1025) | 33% (2–4, n=6) | 90% (18–2, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $398K | $643K | -$1.5K | $530K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #98 | was PM monthly #684 | PM monthly #44 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (72 of 103 open) | 60% (58 of 96 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 12% (won 45% of 89) | 20% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 0% | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | 49ers $25K | 49ers $103K | — | Cowboys $283 |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | Oregon Ducks $7.4K | Pepperdine Waves $149K | — | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | 49ers $10K | Cowboys $67K | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Spurs $9.3K | Jazz $650 | — | — |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $7.2K | Over $2.2K | — | — |
| Rams vs. Cardinals opposite sides · consensus Rams | Rams $7.9K | Cardinals $189 | — | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | 49ers $7.2K | — | — | Cowboys $239 |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | 49ers $1.6K | — | Cowboys $5.8K |
| Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $335 | Under $4.8K | — | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.8K | Over $692 | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $2.0K | Lakers $573 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $70 | Spurs $190 | — | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $20K | — | — | Seahawks $58K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $13K | Under $18K | — | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $503 | Over $16K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $12K | Under $3.1K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $8.2K | Under $307 | — | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $5.1K | Cowboys $1.8K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $5.7K | Celtics $827 | — | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers same side · consensus Hornets | Hornets $6.1K | Hornets $433 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.3K | Under $1.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $4.5K | Celtics $1.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $300 | — | — | Seahawks $4.2K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.7K | Over $2.3K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.4K | Under $848 | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $858 | Under $1.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $438 | Raptors $1.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Rams (-8.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Rams $1.6K | Rams $10 | — | — |
| Spread: Rams (-9.5) same side · consensus Rams | Cardinals $5 | Cardinals $1.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-15.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $82 | Celtics $583 | — | — |
| Rockets vs. Wizards same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $321 | Rockets $72 | — | — |
| Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $287 | Under $2 | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $121 | Rockets $87 | — | — |