← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | primm | RayGuy | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7654–6941, n=14595) | 50% (1244–1255, n=2499) | 76% (25–8, n=33) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $3.6M | $12K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #615 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (188 of 248 open) | 68% (13 of 19 open) | 81% (276 of 339 open) | 55% (65 of 118 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 33 at avg 77¢, ROI +18% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 50% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 3% (won 0% of 1) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 88% (won 100% of 29) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
51 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | primm | RayGuy | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Dolphins opposite sides · consensus Lions | Dolphins $165 | Lions $47K | — | Lions $2.0K |
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Colts $190 | Colts $5.1K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | Commanders $221 | Commanders $221 | — | Rams $66 |
| SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $16K | — | — | Over $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.7K |
| SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $232 |
| SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $7 |
| Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus SC Freiburg | 1. FC Union Berlin $7.2K | — | — | SC Freiburg $3.0K |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3.8K | — | — | Yes $5.3K |
| Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.0K | — | — | No $753 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $826 | — | — | No $5.2K |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.6K | — | — | Under $2.3K |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Aston Villa FC | Aston Villa FC $4.8K | — | — | Manchester United FC $12 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.8K | — | — | Yes $1 |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Eagles $71 | — | Giants $4.2K |
| KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4.2K | — | — | Under $43 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $845 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $6 |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.8K | — | — | Under $5 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.4K | — | — | Yes $96 |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | — | Yes $255 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | — | Yes $108 |
| Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers | Virginia Cavaliers $875 | — | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $412 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $471 | — | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | — | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $440 | — | — | Yes $18 |
| Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $370 | — | — | Yes $28 |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $10 | — | Rams $172 |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | No $20 | — | — | Yes $1 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $125K | — | — | No $96K |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $64K | — | — | No $55K |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $74K | — | — | Yes $14K |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $39K | — | — | No $20K |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $54K | — | — | No $4.8K |
| Jets vs. Chiefs same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $5.1K | Chiefs $49K | — | — |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $24K | — | — | No $12K |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $17K | — | — | No $8.7K |
| Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Manchester United FC | Manchester United FC $21K | — | — | Manchester United FC $3.1K |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Aston Villa FC | Aston Villa FC $19K | — | — | Aston Villa FC $1.1K |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $17K | — | — | Under $402 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $12K | — | — | Over $4.3K |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $8.6K | — | — | No $3.6K |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $10K | — | Over $1.4K |
| Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | No $4.0K |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $7.2K | — | — | No $1.1K |