Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1puggius-maximus-iiRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)no settled market48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.6M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #114—PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (144 of 195 open)72% (73 of 101 open)no open consensus position58% (88 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)—10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)—22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)—35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)—33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1puggius-maximus-iiRN1
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Commanders $320——Rams $17K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.0K——Yes $2.0K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.3K——Yes $614
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
Racing Club de Lens $7.4K——Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8K——FC Barcelona $113
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.4K——Under $420
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.3K——Under $88
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K——No $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Calvin Hemery $973——Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $816——Yes $254
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Brown Bears $768——Lehigh Mountain Hawks $226
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $294——Over $188
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $320——Yes $99
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $63——Over $347
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $383——Over $7
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $334——Under $31
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
76ers $168——Bulls $106
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $122——Under $139
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $72——No $88
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger
Mitchell Krueger $105——Samir Banerjee $2
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 161.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $26——Over $7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $29K——No $16K
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
Broncos $1.4K——Broncos $44K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $24K——No $19K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.7K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $13K——Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
CD Cobresal $13K——CD Cobresal $3.5K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11K——Yes $5.0K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $9.7K——Club Atlético de Madrid $137
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8K——No $5.8K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $6.8K——No $1.8K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $6.3K——No $1.9K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $8.0K——No $5
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona $7.9K——FC Barcelona $11
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $6.4K——No $520
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona $3.5K——FC Barcelona $3.2K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $214——No $6.4K
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.6K——Yes $885
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.0K——No $656
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $214——No $4.4K