← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | zwaaan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) | 52% (135–127, n=262) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $4.8M | $14.8M | $770 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #91 | PM monthly #36 + pinned | was PM monthly #257 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (254 of 331 open) | 72% (68 of 94 open) | 53% (105 of 200 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Crypto −5 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 53% of 144 at avg 51¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 24% (won 6% of 34) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 19% (won 21% of 28) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 26% (won 76% of 38) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 31% (won 89% of 44) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
49 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | zwaaan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $109K | Under $6.4K | Over $4.7K | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.2K | Under $34K | Under $2.6K | — |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $27K | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $24K | — | Yes $1.2K | — |
| Kentucky vs. Tennessee opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | Kentucky $62 | — | Tennessee $23K | — |
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | Miami (FL) $416 | — | Notre Dame $22K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6.2K | — | Over $3.2K | — |
| Will Sporting CP vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.1K | — | Yes $1.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.4K | — | Under $305 | — |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.2K | — | Under $19 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $5.0K | — | Knicks $105 | — |
| Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Hull City AFC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.6K | — | Yes $362 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Newcastle United FC | Newcastle United FC $2.5K | — | Fulham FC $48 | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $963 | — | Over $1.2K | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $368 | — | Under $1.7K | — |
| Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $67 | — | Over $1.8K | — |
| Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $57 | — | Yes $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino | Adrian Mannarino $1.8K | — | Jan Simonsson $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | No $524 | — |
| Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $245 | — | Yes $715 | — |
| Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $910 | — |
| Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Fulham FC | Fulham FC $776 | — | Newcastle United FC $2 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $678 | — | Knicks $30 | — |
| Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 1 - 2 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $55 | — | Yes $547 | — |
| Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Hull City AFC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $31 | — | No $506 | — |
| Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $184 | — | Under $264 | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $15 | — | Under $282 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | No $11 | — |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $151 | — | Yes $38 | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $83 | — | Under $88 | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | No $140 | — |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $136 | — | Under $6 | — |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $115 | — | Under $11 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Hawks $45 | — | Nets $33 | — |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19 | — | Yes $50 | — |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | Over $8 | — |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $190K | — | Yes $27K | — |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $90K | — | Yes $27K | — |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Hull City AFC | Hull City AFC $50K | — | Hull City AFC $816 | — |
| Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | No $45K | — | No $4.4K | — |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $29K | — | Under $11K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Carlos Alcaraz $23K | — | Carlos Alcaraz $9.8K | — |
| Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $24K | — | No $6.1K | — |
| Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | — | Yes $3.7K | — |